econwizard

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Location: Massachusetts, United States

My "I" is constantly changing (perhaps this is merely AD/HD): overdetermined nexus of cultural forces emanating from several continents: skeptical of all Truths and seeker of the truth: iconoclast by enculturation, brain chemistry, and, perhaps, choice: perpetually perplexed, particularly about why we exist/ as the manifestation of overdetermined forces whose existence (and nature) is not as solid (or simplistic) as we would like.

Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Republican Party Socialism

The next step in the drift towards Republican Party socialism has occurred, as the U.S. government takes an 80% stake in AIG, the world's largest insurance company, via warrants. This is probably the right decision to make, given the importance of the bond insurance portfolio of AIG and the widespread impact a bankruptcy would have on the global economic structure. Nevertheless, it is weird seeing the Republican Party behaving like the Communist Party.

Friday, September 12, 2008

U.S. Economy Wants to Go into a Depression

The U.S. economy really wants to go into a depression. How is that for an anthropomorphism? The point is that the financial system in the U.S. has almost unraveled several times, each time being rescued (temporarily) by the Federal Reserve System (our socialist central planning body). The problem with the financial system is partly that the real economy (where "goods" are created and sold) isn't creating enough income to meet the demands of the financial sector (which is, by its nature, parasitic on the goods sector). The failure to generate enough income growth (including job creation) is a key factor in the housing crisis, along with a failure of lenders to do due diligence (which is not uncommon among bankers and other bureaucrats). The problem is so severe at this point that simply using financial mechanisms is not likely to pull the economy far enough from the brink that it won't just make its way back to the edge again. The 2008 presidential election will be interesting, as it will be a sort of test of whether many Americans in the so-called red states, as well as red regions of blue states, care more about maintaining an antiquated caste system (and therefore voting for McCain-Palin) or are willing to take a chance with a brilliant and capable leader who has the potential to be great, not simply adequate and therefore might be just the right person for the times. My friends already know I'm skeptical about the willingness to go for the best and, if I bet on elections, I'd probably bet on McCain winning. In the event my instincts turn out to be correct, I seriously doubt the team that McCain assembles in Washington will be capable of dealing with this disaster parading as an economy (a product of eight years, almost, of absolutely abysmal, reckless, and spendthrift "leadership" and nearly three decades of reckless deregulation of financial transactions).

The interesting thing about this election is that, if young people were the only ones who could vote, Obama-Biden would win in a landslide. Since young people are going to inherit the mess that their elders (baby boomers and older) created, they have a vested interest in turning things around faster. I think most of them know that Obama-Biden are more likely to bring that about than McCain-Palin.

Friday, September 05, 2008

Palin without the "l"?

Okay, those who wrote me about Palin and sent me lots of links to show the woman is nutso. Thank you very much, but I do believe she is likely to be your next vice president. And may therefore become president. Yes, she seems to have some points of view at odds with science (and reality). Yes, she is going to be a very risky choice for someone that high in the national political hierarchy. But unless McCain pulls a George McGovern, she's the Veep candidate. And that vast Fox News America out there isn't going to vote for Barack Obama unless he suddenly morphs into someone more melanin challenged between now and election day. That's just the reality of this country. If I'm wrong, then America has changed more than my 6,000 mile plus trip across the country last summer indicated.*


I'll say one thing, the stock market sure did not cheer her speech.




*But at least McCain has forced the macho Fox News crowd to vote for a woman as VP.